I was playing around with the numbers and realistically speaking the Fighting Sioux "COULD" finish in first still. I don't know the Sioux are 4-2-2 during the second half. Try the "what-if" calculator. Go ahead and post your finds if you like. I don't know if I would like to see UND play the Seawolves.
WCHA Final
UMD 28 36
UND 28 36
Denver 28 36
UW 28 35
SCSU 28 35
CC 28 29
UMN 28 26
AA 28 21
Mankato 28 21
MTech 28 5
Is this like, best-case scenario or realistic scenario?
ReplyDeletetUMD is not going to win the league.
I wouldn't sell you team short, it's possible.
ReplyDeleteWell yes, it is possible. I'll feel more comfortable after this weekend.
ReplyDeleteThis thing is pretty damn cool. Nearly impossible to try and predict what will happen, but if I would guess right now, I would say that Minnesota, Mankato, Anchorage, and Tech are entrenched in the bottom four, with Denver and Wisconsin locked into the top two, and the other four somewhere in between. This is what I have:
ReplyDeleteDenver, Wisconsin, SCSU, UMD, UND, CC, Minnesota, Anchorage, Mankato, Tech.
I still think UND can finish in the top three but it will take a good effort.
ReplyDeleteA good effort will mean sweeping Denver this weekend and playing to win at the NHC in St Cloud on Feb 12, and stay away from penalties, especially game misconducet DQ's for fighting, specifically fighting Aaron Marvin. 5th place is not acceptable for ND. Playing with Blood in the box is a problem We need (don't need?) Blood on the ice!
ReplyDeleteMiracle for the Sioux to finish first, no offense Goon.
ReplyDeleteI've ran that several times and I have UND finishing 5th every time, passing CC. Duluth & St Cloud have pretty easy schedules, and DU's schedule gets easier after they visit your team this weekend. UW has a nice stretch to finish the season. 4 teams need to fall on their face for the Sioux to pass/catch them, and 2 of them need to, for the Sioux to get to third.
Don't see it happening, I think DU will still take the league.
Gandalf, I think UND can make the Tourney even if they don't make the Final Five.
ReplyDeleteI would agree with that. In fact, I think any of the top 6 teams in the WCHA could miss the Final Five and still qualify at large for the NCAA tournament. I do specifically recall Denver missing out on the Final Five not too long ago and winning the national title, and UND finishing 5th in the WCHA standings and then finishing runner-up in the NCAA tournament. That's how deep the WCHA was in the past, and it could easily occur similarly this season...
ReplyDeleteI think the Sioux will make the tourney, and CC won't; 5 WCHA teams in. I just don't think they have any chance at top 3 in the standings.
ReplyDeleteI would hate to be that HE or CCHA or EZAC team who has to play the Sioux in the first round, unless the NCAA goes all 2008 MW Regional and loads up 3 WCHA teams again. That would be fitting should that many make it, to handcuff the conference from kicking ass.
Gandalf, I have been looking at the numbers and if PWR keeps going the way it is I think there is a chance for 6, the non conference schedule of the WCHA is amazing this season execept for MTU.
ReplyDelete